In today's scientific labor market, just doing good
science is no longer enough. Postdocs need realistic expectations,
good information, and an entrepreneurial attitude toward their
careers.
On 18 March, 100 years and a day after 26-year-old Albert
Einstein sent off the first of his 1905 papers that were destined
to revolutionize physics, National Institutes of Health (NIH)
Director Elias Zerhouni invoked the name of another Nobelist,
biochemist Marshall Nirenberg, at a meeting held to unveil a new
report on the plight of young researchers today. Nirenberg won his
Nobel Prize at 41--even younger than Einstein. "In today's world,"
Zerhouni noted, "Marshall Nirenberg would get his Nobel Prize
before he got his first NIH grant."
"The number one thing that every postdoc needs to think about is
what they want to do when they grow up." - Ida Chow, executive
officer of the Society of Developmental Biology
Today's young biomedical researchers, notes the National
Research Council (NRC) reportBridges to Independence, don't
win their first independent faculty appointment until a median age
of 36, and they don't reach the milestone that marks their real
debut as independent investigators--their first competitive NIH
research grant--until a median age of 42. This late start doesn't
just stunt individual careers, warns the report. It also threatens
the vitality of the nation's scientific enterprise.
Moreover, for most aspiring biomedical scientists, there won't
be an academic job at the end of that long apprenticeship: There
are simply far more people in the pipeline than there are available
academic positions. Given that inescapable arithmetic, experts
advise today's budding biomedical Einsteins and Nirenbergs to think
more broadly about their future scientific careers. "The number-one
thing that every postdoc needs to think about is what they want to
do when they grow up," says Ida Chow, executive officer of the
Society of Developmental Biology.
Funding patterns and holding patterns
NIH funding is itself largely responsible for the slowdown,
explains the report. Over the past several decades, NIH has
financed a swift rise in the number of life science Ph.D.s and then
supported them--mostly by means of extramural research grants made
to universities--in postdoctoral appointments that have become, in
the report's words, "a 'holding pattern' for thousands of young
scientists" who find themselves unable to move on to traditional
faculty posts. The postdoc--a de facto requirement for an academic
research career--now averages just under 5 years. For many life
science postdocs, especially among the 80% paid out of NIH grants
to principal investigators, " 'postdoctoral training' ... has
turned into 'postdoctoral employment'--with the postdoc remaining
at the same professional position with little advancement of
professional training," the report says.
"Simply put," notes the report in a model of understatement,
"there are not enough tenure-track academic positions for the
available pool of biomedical researchers." Between 1993 and 2000,
the number of U.S. life science Ph.D.s under age 35 holding coveted
tenure-track jobs in major research universities declined by 12.1%,
to 543; meanwhile, the number of U.S. biomedical Ph.D.s in that age
range increased by 59%, to nearly 20,000, and tens of thousands
more scientists with foreign Ph.D.s came to fill postdoc positions
in U.S. labs.

CREDITS: (LEFT TO RIGHT) HULTON ARCHIVE/GETTY IMAGES;
KEYSTONE/GETTY IMAGES; AAAS
The traditional "linear progression" from "graduate school to
postdoctoral positions to assistant professorships, then obtaining
funding and tenure" now works for only a small minority of young
scientists, the report explains. Instead of this simple
progression, young scientists confront "a complex network of
current career pathways" to a variety of occupations using
scientific training, many of them outside academe. In addition,
increasing numbers of scientists hold non-tenure-track university
posts, a type of appointment that increased 55% between 1990 and
2001, a rate approximately seven times faster than that of
tenure-track posts. The great majority of postdocs seeking stable
career employment must therefore take what the academic world has
long regarded as "alternative" jobs with unfamiliar professional
cultures and skill requirements that scientists generally do not
encounter in graduate school or a mentor's lab.
Building bridges to opportunity
In light of these changes, what can postdocs do to prepare
themselves to move beyond the training phase, wherever that move
might take them? A first step is to jettison the notion of jobs
outside academe as "alternative" work, advises Chow. "The word
'alternative' gives a bad connotation of second class," she says. A
far better term, she believes, is "career choices," specifically
"the many career choices that science graduates--from the bachelors
to the doctorate--have today compared to a generation ago."
Opportunities include industry--which in 2001 employed some 35%
of life science Ph.D.s, up from 15% in 1981--as well as government,
science policy, writing, and nonuniversity teaching. "Even Wall
Street needs people with science backgrounds to work as analysts,"
Chow says. "There are many more choices than just university
jobs."
Setting a personal course for the future is particularly
important at the postdoc stage, when young scientists no longer
have the structure and goals automatically supplied by graduate
school, says Andrea Stith, science policy analyst at the Federation
of American Societies for Experimental Biology (FASEB): "There your
goal is defined for you, and you have the evaluation of
grades."
At one time, most postdocs' goals were also clear--a faculty
job--and the guidance and help of the PI played a major role in
getting there. But as the range of jobs scientists occupy has
expanded, the help their advisers can provide has diminished.
Faculty members who have spent their careers within academe often
lack the knowledge and contacts needed to help their protégés find
jobs in other sectors. So postdocs considering opportunities
outside academic science need to assume far greater responsibility
for their own futures. Key to taking charge, says Stith, is
systematic planning. An effective approach to doing so, Stith
continues, is to create an Individual Development Plan (IDP), a
document that states specific goals and outlines specific means of
achieving them.
Doing science on yourself
Widely used in the business world, the IDP is unfamiliar to most
academic scientists, although some universities and funders now use
IDPs to help plan the postdoctoral period. FASEB has developed a
3-hour instructional IDP seminar, complete with interactive
exercises, that it piloted at the Experimental Biology 2005 meeting
in April in San Diego, California, and plans to present at other
venues. "An IDP is appropriate for every stage of your life," says
Stith, who served as one of the seminar presenters.

Delayed independence. Researchers under 40 now
account for less than 15% of NIH grant awards.
SOURCE: NIH
Like doing an experiment, the four-step process of creating an
IDP involves thinking strategically, gathering data, and evaluating
results. It begins with a self-assessment during which the
individual determines his or her own values, interests,
preferences, priorities, strengths, weaknesses, talents, and
tolerances. "Is the amount of pay important to you?" Stith asks.
"Is time with family? Is independence, as far as determining the
project you're working on? How much and what are you going to
compromise?"
Next comes the career-assessment stage, when the postdoc
identifies and learns about occupations that appear to meet his or
her needs. Information gathered should include the skills,
knowledge, and characteristics needed to enter and succeed in the
fields of interest and how to go about acquiring them. Sources of
information can include university career centers and postdoc
offices, professional associations, libraries, the Internet, and
networking with people who have firsthand experience.
In the third stage, the postdoc composes the document. "Write
down your goals and parse out your long-term and short-term goals,"
Stith says. Explicit timelines add specificity. Finally, in stage
four, the individual puts the plan into effect, periodically
measuring progress toward those goals and revising the plan as
needed. "We expect people's interests to change," Stith says.
Weaning or weeding?
The entrepreneurial spirit symbolized by FASEB's IDP could be
particularly handy for postdocs in the next few years if the
recommendations inBridges to Independenceare adopted. The
recommendations would create opportunities for some postdocs and
insecurity for others, allowing--indeed, forcing--many postdocs to
"grow up" to some form of independence more quickly.
On the opportunities side, one prominent proposal would
reallocate NIH research funds to hundreds of new awards each year
to postdocs doing their own research. Another would strengthen
support for the growing cadre of investigators on soft money in
non-tenure-track positions. Yet even the downside of these
proposals is likely to have a secondary weaning effect: Given
current budget constraints, these initiatives would most likely
take funding away from some current investigators--and paychecks
from their postdocs.
From a postdoc point of view, perhaps the most significant
recommendation is one that would limit to a total of 5 years the
postdoctoral support any individual could receive from all NIH
sources combined, whether fellowships or employment on PI grants.
This would eject the longest-serving postdocs from their current
jobs and could endanger the immigration status of many noncitizens,
who account for more than half of the postdocs working in U.S.
labs.Bridgesurges PIs to promote scientists remaining on
after their NIH eligibility ends to staff positions with pay,
benefits, and clearly defined institutional status commensurate
with their experience and responsibilities. But doing so would be
expensive, and the source of money to support it is unclear.
The weeding out that would occur is consistent with the goals of
the NRC committee. "This is not a full employment system for
postdocs," said National Academy of Sciences president Bruce
Alberts at the 18 March briefing. "The system will select out those
of real ability [so that] the very best have a chance to see what
they can do." The changes "might be painful to some people,"
acknowledged the report committee's chair, Thomas Cech, president
of the Howard Hughes Medical Institute in Chevy Chase,
Maryland--who, incidentally, won the Nobel Prize in chemistry just
as he turned 42--but they "should have a wonderful effect on
encouraging early consideration of career opportunities."
Whether or not these recommendations are adopted--and the report
itself points out that earlier recommendations were not--the career
picture for most postdocs remains complex for the foreseeable
future. "Each year, both new and experienced investigators compete
in a Darwinian-like system," theBridgesreport states. It
should therefore come as no surprise to life scientists that those
who adapt strategically to rapidly changing circumstances have the
best chance of prospering in the years ahead.
Beryl Lieff Benderly is a contributor to Science's
Next Wave (www.nextwave.org).